The 2021 NFL season begins on Thursday with the Dallas Cowboys visiting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However there’s worth in having a look forward to Weeks 2-18 now.
There are lots of naysayers who don’t suppose it’s a good suggestion to make advance wagers like this as a result of “nobody is aware of what’s going to occur, yada, yada, yada,” however we actually imagine you possibly can put your self in a fantastic place on video games by projecting how groups will fare through the season and winding up on the appropriate aspect of key numbers. Advance traces listed are from DraftKings and Westgate SuperBook.
Week 2: Payments -2.5 at Dolphins
I really feel this line needs to be no less than -3 (and it’s on the Westgate in Vegas). I counsel grabbing the -2.5 now at DraftKings. If the Payments roll the Steelers in Week 1 or the Dolphins get blown out by the Patriots, this can certainly go to -3 and maybe -3.5 (at which level we might wager again some on the Dolphins +3.5 for a shot at a center).
Week 3: Colts +3.5 at Titans
The Colts open in opposition to the Seahawks and Rams whereas the Titans play the Cardinals and Seahawks. I’m banking on these groups every being 1-1 and this line being extra more likely to transfer to the important thing variety of 3 (word: Westgate is already dealing Titans -3), so I feel it’s higher to seize the hook now.
Week 4: Bears -5.5 vs. Lions
The Lions are very more likely to be 0-3 after going through the 49ers, Packers and Ravens. If the Bears are 2-1 after going through the Rams, Bengals and Browns, and Andy Dalton continues to be beginning, then they’ll be favored by no less than a landing. In the event that they’re 0-3 or 1-2 and Justin Fields is given his first begin, I imagine the betting market will bounce on the rookie in opposition to the Lions and nonetheless make them a TD favourite.
Week 5: Packers -6 at Bengals
The Packers begin with the Saints, Lions, 49ers and Steelers, however ought to nonetheless come out of it no worse than 2-2, and I’d anticipate the betting market to be throughout Aaron Rodgers “getting properly” on this sport. I imagine solely a Rodgers damage can maintain this line from being no less than -7.
Week 5: Broncos +4.5 at Steelers
I’ve these groups very shut in my energy rankings, actually too shut for the Steelers to be favored by 4.5 factors even at dwelling. The Broncos could possibly be 2-2 and even 3-1 whereas the Steelers needs to be 2-2 at finest. I believe this line will probably be lengthy passed by sport day, and we could possibly be laying Steelers -3 for a pleasant shot at a center.
Week 6: Bears +4.5 vs. Packers
I wrote about this within the VSiN NFL Betting Information: with the way in which the schedules line up, these groups might each be 3-2 by the point of this key NFC North sport. The Packers will undoubtedly nonetheless be favored, however I foresee it being so much nearer to 3-point street chalk.
Week 7: Falcons +3.5 at Dolphins
Atlanta could possibly be 3-2 and even 4-1 coming into this sport off a bye. I’m anticipating the Dolphins to be no higher than 3-3, so there’s an excellent probability this line could possibly be decrease than a discipline objective (at which period I’d advise betting again slightly on the Dolphins for a center). Worst-case situation, I don’t see this line being any larger than it’s now.
Week 9: Payments -6.5 at Jaguars
If the Payments are among the many prime groups within the AFC and the Jaguars are nonetheless going by rising pains, I can’t see how this line isn’t greater than a landing even with the sport in Jacksonville.
Week 12: Falcons PK at Jaguars
The Falcons aren’t more likely to be pretty much as good because the Payments, however they’re very more likely to be favored on the street on the Jaguars by the point this sport rolls round.
Week 12: Browns +3.5 at Ravens
Most individuals have these groups neck-and-neck within the AFC North, so I might see this Week 12 sport nearer to pick-’em. Even when the Ravens are forward within the division, I nonetheless doubt we’ll be getting a greater value with the Browns later.
Week 14: Titans -6.5 vs. Jaguars
This line has already been wager from -6 to -6.5, so I’m fairly assured it’s heading to 7 or larger if the season goes as anticipated for these groups, so lock within the advantageous line now.