Rookie tight ends are infamous for being weak fantasy contributors. Large receivers don’t carry the identical stigma, however actually there are vital dangers concerned should you plan to depend on one in your fantasy roster.
This 12 months’s crop has what’s considered as distinctive expertise. However with receivers additionally being chosen larger in NFL drafts than prior to now, they typically land on groups that aren’t so good – in any other case they wouldn’t be drafting so excessive.
Ja’Marr Chase falls completely into this class. Now, an argument might be made that the Bengals would have been a greater workforce final season had quarterback Joe Burrow not suffered a season-ending harm in Week 10.
Individuals have worries concerning the dysfunctional Bengals offensive line. Their line wasn’t good final 12 months both, however they averaged 24.25 factors in eight video games Burrow completed. They averaged simply 14.63 in video games he didn’t. They scored fewer than 10 simply as soon as within the eight Burrow full video games. They scored 10 or fewer in 5 of the eight he didn’t end.
So our worries aren’t the potential of the Bengals’ offense, however that doesn’t imply we don’t have worries. Burrow has not seemed significantly good within the preseason and had some yips early on in coaching camp, coming off a torn ACL. That could be a bit worrisome. However what worries us extra are the underwhelming opinions of Chase within the preseason.
Cincinnati additionally has Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd to soak up an enormous chunk of Burrow’s targets. So that they don’t have to force-feed the rookie. If he lags behind, the others inherit his share of vast receiver quantity. Contemplating Chase is commonly drafted in shut proximity as his teammates – Higgins in rounds 6-7, Chase in 7-8, Boyd round Spherical 9 — we are able to simply as properly draft one of many different receivers. Which leaves us out of the chase for Chase.
We’re a bit extra optimistic about DeVonta Smith in Philadelphia. Jalen Hurts seemed OK in his 4 begins final season – nice in fantasy however simply meh in actual life. Granted, the Eagles’ receiving choices we’re precisely otherworldly. There was Jalen Reagor and Greg Ward, neither of whom have been constant or enormously productive. Hurts had tight finish Dallas Goedart, who’s again and may obtain a pleasant share of the passing quantity (although don’t sleep Zach Ertz if he isn’t traded).
And there was the Wonderful Month of Travis Fulgham – a span of 5 video games to start out the season by which he racked up 29 receptions, 435 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has by no means been noticed once more. He has turn into a story of mythic legend, like Massive Foot, or the Loch Ness monster. There’s grainy footage of a catch or two within the following weeks, however these might simply be ghost tales and doctored highlights. We’re not shopping for the very fact he arrived then dropped off the face of the fantasy earth so shortly. No Massive Foot-style improbable people tales for us. We expect he was kidnapped by aliens. And people aliens have given no signal they plan to return him, so we don’t contemplate Fulgham an obstacle to Smith’s manufacturing.
Therefore, Smith stands to inherit a big portion of the WR workload. With an ADP proper in step with Chase (across the seventh spherical), we a lot want Smith.
Jaylen Waddle had his abilities drafted to South Seashore, the place he’s reunited with former Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa. And although we like Waddle’s expertise, we fear concerning the truth Tua, in 9 begins final season, averaged barely 200 yards passing per recreation and barely multiple TD per recreation. Add within the truth we anticipate regression by the Dolphins as an entire, and Waddle isn’t a reputation who sparks pursuits for the Madman, even within the ninth spherical. We’d quite have Jarvis Landry or Michael Pittman Jr. Or higher, at current, you would possibly even get Marquez Callaway in that vary, however that in all probability gained’t final.
Kadarius Toney (Giants), Elijah Moore (Jets), Nico Collins (Texans) or Rondale Moore (Cardinals) aren’t guys that mild a fireplace. Toney has missed a lot of camp. Moore is tied to a rookie QB who appears to favor Corey Davis. Moore has a variety of surrounding expertise to compete with in Arizona. And Collins, properly, he performs for the Texans – who can be the main candidate for relegation. Oh wait, the NFL doesn’t have relegation. Guess we are able to simply anticipate the Texans to stink for fairly a while.