Working again is essentially the most unstable place in fantasy soccer. RBs usually tend to get injured and so they have the shortest profession window for prime manufacturing. This makes rookie RBs routinely extra instantly helpful in fantasy than different positions. This yr seems to be no completely different.
Najee Harris is about to take over bellcow duties in Pittsburgh. He’s the clear prime fantasy rookie RB, primarily based on quantity alone. We additionally count on him to catch passes. He’s the one rookie who doesn’t have some extent of competitors for a wholesome dose of carries. The one cause he’s going within the second spherical as a substitute of the primary is the Steelers’ porous run sport final season, and the concern about Ben Roethlisberger’s sturdiness – as a result of if he goes down, as we’ve seen, the Pittsburgh offense sinks with him.
The Jaguars have a Clemson taste to them – having drafted quarterback Trevor Lawrence and RB Travis Eitenne. Incumbent starter James Robinson was just too good in his rookie season final yr to be fully forgotten. He’ll nonetheless get some carries, which is able to minimize into Eitenne’s fantasy worth. And that was earlier than Eitenne suffered a foot sprain Monday – he’ll miss an undetermined period of time. This could push Eitenne down draft boards – from the flip in rounds 4-5 to probably the spherical 7-8 vary.
Denver drafted Javonte Williams within the second spherical. If Williams had the sort of clear path to bulk carries that Harris enjoys, we might have Williams ranked a lot larger. However Melvin Gordon continues to be on the roster, and we count on the veteran to soak up a big quantity of the workload and possibly the goal-line carries.
49ers rookie Trey Sermon additionally has a veteran in his backfield, Raheem Mostert. Although we like Mostert’s manufacturing greater than Gordon (making Mostert a more durable hurdle for Sermon to clear than Williams with Gordon), however Mostert has a hefty log of accidents on his ledger and has by no means carried the load as a main again for a whole season. This is the reason we predict Sermon has a greater likelihood of turning into the lead horse in San Fran than Williams does in Denver, at a decrease draft value.
Michael Carter landed in New York with the Jets. The crew signed Tevin Coleman, however his greatest days seem behind him. With a brand new quarterback and new coach and new offense, we like Carter’s probabilities to be the go-to again higher than Williams’ as properly.
Carolina misplaced their backup to Christian McCaffrey when Mike Davis signed with the Falcons. They drafted a brand new handcuff in Chuba Hubbard. He’s price a late choose as a handcuff when you have McCaffrey, however in any other case he’ll rot in your bench awaiting a CMC damage.
With Doug Pederson not on the helm in Philadelphia, it’s unclear if the fantasy backfield hell will proceed in his absence. Miles Sanders is the clear frontrunner to be a bona fide lead man. However the Eagles did add Kenneth Gainwell. Very similar to Hubbard, we view him primarily as a handcuff choice, however he does have barely extra upside simply because his position/anticipated workload is far much less reliant on an damage.
Rhamondre Stevenson is the most recent title so as to add to the bag of Patriots backs who’re sure to bother fantasy managers. A dominant fantasy choice has not often emerged from New England because the days of Corey Dillon. We count on the rookie’s major affect to be undermining Damien Harris, greater than Stevenson making a fantasy affect himself.